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Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Hillary: Charles IX or Phillip II?


I catch myself wondering what kind of President Hillary would be in a foreign policy crisis?  Are there any precedents in history?  Apparently the Benghazi incident occurred the day Obama announced he was going to bed because he had a fundraiser to speak at and needed rest.  He also has little stomach for war decisions, so he left the Libya situation in the hands of Hill and Leon the Congressman Forever.  As they watched the 7 hour horror unfold, Indecisive Hill and Leon the Peon couldn’t decide to wake the Emperor from his beauty rest. (only a Prez can order troop actions.)  Either they thought it would end or, more likely, Hill who had been the strong advocate of getting rid of Qaddafi, thought the “rebel” attackers would surely be our friends.  Hence she clutched.    

            Charles IX was king of France during a time of extreme partisanship. Catholics conspired to murder Protestants and vice versa. Chuck’s mother, Catherine de Medici, had been regent in his youth and was still chief advisor when he was 23 in 1572. France was 90% Catholic and 10% Huguenot Calvinist Protestant who were on the rise in government.  In particular, Coligny, admiral of the French Navy had the ear of her son.  Catherine was jealous.  She and the widow of the Duke of Anjou blamed Coligny for the good Duke’s murder and conspired to have Coligny assassinated in revenge.  In August 1572, rumors of a Huguenot revolt ran through Paris and in the middle of the night, the young king was awakened by his panicked mother, fearing that a Huguenot takeover would mean doom for herself.  She and a gang of staunch Catholics told the king that he must execute 6 noted Huguenots or risk his mother’s life.  But Chas protested that they should be tried.  Too late for that, he was told.  They must act fast.  Still Chas argued until finally at his wit’s end, he blurted out blasphemies and said, “By the death of God, since you choose to kill the Admiral, I consent! But then you will have to kill all the Huguenots in France!” Slammed the door and went to his room.  And so the highly partisan Catholics gave orders to literally massacre most Protestants in France.  The following day, August 24, 1572 is known as St. Bartholomew’s Day Massacre when 30,000+ Protestants were unsuspectingly drug from their homes and killed execution style. Charles IX tried to stop the holocaust twice but was told it was too far along. Having lost the better part of his government, he grew despondent and was tortured by his conscience. As for the partisan Catholics, they rationalized the massacre as an explosion of resentment and revenge against the heretics. Charles grew recluse and thin and the next year contracted tuberculosis.  By 1574 he was spitting blood and called for Henry of Navarre, a Huguenot duke and cousin.  He named him heir on his dying bed.  Henry, assessing the situation and realizing he was not too personally religious, agreed to convert to Catholicism as an expedient to ruling the kingdom, and as a first act as Henry IV, amnestied Protestants. But the Massacre haunted France.  Playwrights and philosophers began to question Divine Right of the King, as a precursor to the French Revolution two centuries early.  The loss of the Huguenot bourgeois plagued France for a hundred years. Morality declined and ultimately led to ruin.

            Here’s the deal with a weak decision-maker in the presence of strong partisanship.  The worst atrocities are committed when the ruler doesn’t stand up for right and wrong and common sense, then gives in to one of two sides.  Often the consequences are worse than the atrocity.  France, with its weak morals, in 1789 guillotined ¼ of the clergy, ¼ declared atheism, and the other half left the country.  Since Napoleon, France has been a weak state in war, a creative and innovative land but with poor economic performance.  Is this called missing the discipline of morals?
             If Hillary is checked by a Republican Congress,they will fight for 4 years.

            But what if Hillary gets a Democrat Congress?  “Then we are Italy,” a friend of mine said.  Well, actually, Phillip II of Spain comes to mind.  Spain was a proud country that defeated the last Moorish kingdom, Grenada, in 1492 and discovered the new world that same year.  In the years after this, the gold and silver from Mexico and Peru enriched Spain phenomenally.  The Hapsburgs married-in. Finally Phillip II rose to the throne in 1555 and then inherited the throne of Portugal when it went heirless.  Fanatic and conscientious about his Christianity, the people loved Phillip and still do to this day. They denied him nothing.  With their blessing, he began the purges. He exiled all Jews and then most Muslim Moriscos.  The Jews were the bankers and merchants.  The Muslims worked the farms for the Spanish.  The Spanish who remained didn’t want to work farms or trade.  They wanted to strum flamenco guitars, fight bulls and other proud occupations worthy of conquerors.  Phillip lost his internal economy and never understood why. He hated war and belatedly agreed to invade England.  When Spain lost the Netherlands to revolt and the Armada in 1586, the country went into steep decline.  His son Phillip III completed the banishment of Moriscos.  The people loved it and scooped up property at steep discount.  But Spain lost 400,000 of its most productive people out of a population of 7 million.
              The worst decisions with long repercusions  are made when one side wins everything.  "If only one idea is allowed, even if it is the correct idea, that is tyranny." --James Madison, Federalist Papers. 

            So what happens if the Democrats inherit the kingdom and our economy, already immune to stimulus from too much government regulation and taxation, is regulated/taxed even more?  That’s an economy which has experienced one of the worst recoveries (1.8% growth) in US history, has for the first time in 400 years of America, produced fewer new business start-ups than closures, has produced 10.5M new jobs when 21.5M were needed to keep up with population growth.   But would Hillary do damage or rectify things?  Well, she wants a massive new Islamic refugee program, wants to move Obamacare closer to single payer, desires more protectionism than Trump, and wants the coal industry dead. Taxes?  I listened to the debate between her and Bernie where she was advocating 45% max income tax and he trumped her at 54%.  She said she would do 54% if only Congress would pass it.  Think that will create new jobs???

            Trouble is, once you create a large, permanent dependent class, like Juan Peron did in Argentina, they are always there to out-vote and demand the taxpayers and producers spend an increasing share on free stuff from the government.

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