Don’t tell me the R’s aren’t
blowing an opportunity. Polls last
summer had 70% of people saying we were going the wrong direction, 80% of R’s
eager to vote while Dems were 30%. This
was a banner year coming. Well, A Funny
Thing Happened On The Way To The Forum.
Trump came along and won the nomination.
He should be 20 points ahead of uninspiring Hillary right now, but the
two are in a dead heat. Trump won
Nebraska easily the week after Indiana when he was the only candidate still in
the race—with 61%. His win in Indiana,
the 41st contest, was the first majority win in one of the 26 red
states. People are having trouble lining
up behind him. He insults Hispanics and
other people of color, a weird situation for the party of Lincoln. He’s about a 75% conservative which will
leave the base disgusted at having to once again vote for a half-liberal. The one this year is from NY. Last one was from MA, right? Well, not to fear, on the last day of the
primary he won with 67-72% of most states, and even got 81% of NJ. He might still win, and that is our hope.
But I want to make a
prediction. If Trump loses in Nov., all
hell is going to break out with the postmortems. How in the dickens did we lose in a year that
was supposed to be an Obama fatigue slam dunk?
It will show a party with fleeing Hispanics just like blacks fled in the
late 60’s. It will show deep divisions
over the issue of free trade/free enterprise. It will show a party split over
whether USA should ever go to war again in places like Iraq and Afghanistan,
and our enemies will surely take advantage of coward Democrats. People will shrug and say, so just what does
the Republican party now stand for anyway? And you will hear this all over the
media.
But what you aren’t likely to
hear much are these vital questions,
*Was Trump an interloper? Did he come into a crowded field with a bunch
of Independents and a lot of celebrity-worshiper/low-info voters and get 25% of
the vote from people we had never seen before?
And then did his success and his bluster, on television non-stop, begin
to bandwagon some R-voters as well until he was at 35%, then 40%? And had there been no open primaries on the
front end, would Trump’s big momentum have died the way it did in Oklahoma on
Super Tuesday and in caucuses like Maine and Colorado?
*Did the party regulars, the
activists, the people who pay attention, lose control of the nominating
process?
*Did Talk Radio, now losing
listenership the last 4 years because sophisticated listeners are using Sirius
and Apps, make a calculation that they had better support the lesser-educated
audience they still retained, and mysteriously ditched conservatism in favor of
Trumpism?
*Will populism in the R’s be
repudiated or will it be the new norm, where the lead candidate needs to
lambast everyone else? Will clipped phrases and foul-mouthed slogans replace
issues, or will we get back to solutions? And women voters.
* Should the state parties, in a
year of much-contested candidacy, simply throw open the convention and let
everyone vote their conscience on the first ballot? Should there be some sort of super delegate
system like the Dems to keep out an interloper like Sanders?
*Do we need to educate the
public about what GOP stands for? Given
that government schools indoctrinate liberalism, do we need alternate learning
places?
So here are some answers. Trump is an insurgent who brings a lot of
disgruntled independents and the party did lose control to the primaries, being
saddled with a candidate they could only hold their nose and work for. Solution is to have special state caucuses
ahead of the primaries in the five or ten states that voted “most R” in the
last election. Caucuses would be to
assign 200-500 additional national convention delegates (who could either vote
conscience or are pledged) by county caucuses. These would only be open for those
who had attended county party meetings in the previous year, i.e. activists. More
people will come to county meetings to become eligible to participate. Some
are the big donors who previously thought themselves too important to attend
county meetings. And some who said, I
ought to get involved but have no time. And maybe we will have to have a larger
meeting hall to accommodate all the Republicans who used to sit in easy chairs
and vote dumb, but now realize they need to be involved in party politics.
The national Republican party
has always had the rule that delegates can vote their consciences. It is the state party that makes them
pledged. Just follow national rules with
no add-ons.
Talk Radio will have to
answer. Call ‘em.
Perhaps on the state level,
there needs to be an extra-curricular activity in high schools where citizenry
is allowed to speak, debate, convince—not run by the government school or
teachers, but by the community. Hence
the parties would have a larger task/say in what gets presented.
. Unusual, exceptional thought. Thanks for your views. .
ReplyDeleteF.C.